Yesterday was probably not a day that Tom Dwan will remember fondly when he one day looks back at his poker carreer. In just over 900 hands, he managed to lose over 1.1 million dollars playing PLO, and he was really spreading the wealth. Ivey and Ziigmund won almost $450K each while Patrik Antonius also wanted in on the action and grabbed $200K for himself. The only consolation for Dwan has to be that the game against Antonius was outside the durrrr challenge, so his lead there is still intact.
Durrrr flops two pairs, but Ziigmund hits a runner runner flush to win a $351K pot.
Dwan was not running good in the large pots, and it was the main reason for his bad result. At this level, a couple of coolers and a few flips going the wrong way will bury you real quick. Most of the time, the big PLO pots occur when both players hit something good on the flop, and because of wide ranges neither player have much choice other than stacking off and hoping for the best. The hand above, however, was the only of the top five where it feels like both players had some alternative plays at their disposal on both the flop and the turn.
Having 4-bet before the flop, Ziigmund makes the continuation bet on the flop by betting just over half the pot. In isolation, the bet might seem a bit timid, and seeing his hand it is easy to make the conclusion that he is unsure where if he is ahead at this point. However, I am sure he would also make the same bet with trip aces here, so most likely, Dwan can’t read much into the size of the bet. I am a bit curious, though, Dwan’s action on this hand. Granted, he flopped two pairs, something that can take down a lot of hands playing heads-up PLO, but the his hand has very little chance of improving, so if he is to win this pot, he will have to do it with the bottom two pairs he is already holding.
From this perspective it would have made more sense for me if Dwan had gone for the check raise on the flop, or maybe to bet out on the turn when what seems like a relatively harmless card fell. He has obviously decided that the hand is worth putting in all of his money with, so getting some fold equity to go with that seems to be reasonable. I don’t think Ziigmund would have folded to a turn bet, seeing how he picked up the nut flush draw, but a check raise on the flop would probably have forced him out of the pot. As you all know, hindsight, is 20-20, but I feel like Dwan’s play on this hand was a bit indecisive, something that isn’t like him at all.
Cole South flops a straight and gets Isildur1 to pay him off with a pair of aces in a $98K pot.
Isildur1 was back at the tables, but looking at his results I am sure he wish he wasn’t. With his hyper aggressive style, his swings will always be big, but even though the sample of hands is relatively small, I am pretty sure that it is not a good idea to play that way in these games. So far, he has lost almost one million dollars in just under 7 000 hands.
The hand above is a good example of what I am talking about. Cole South flops the nuts and makes a small teaser bet to give Isildur1 the impression that the pot is there for the taking. Obviously, it is possible that he has the best hand in this spot, but he should take into consideration that with his table image, Isildur1 is unlikely to get his opponent to fold any sort of a hand against him. This means that he will never be a big favourite with his aces, and quite often he will be a significant underdog. This time he only had a 3% chance of winning the pot when the money went in.
I will leave you with the four of the five largest pots of the day (uncommented). The largest pot was the one mentioned at the top of the report.
Ziigmund rivers a straight to win a $351K pot vs durrrr
Phil Ivey flops top two pairs and it stands up over Ziigmunds top and bottom pair plus draw. $307K pot.
Durrrr’s aces holds up against Ziigmund’s kings. $293K pot.
Ziigmund flops top set against durrrr’s top two pairs to take a $276K pot
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