Antonius continues his free-fall

Written by: Baard
Category: Report    
Sunday
November 29, 2009

It has been a tough couple of days for Patrik Antonius, and last night was no different. In only just over 1500 hands he managed to lose $1.75M to Isildur1 and Ziigmund, with the two splitting the money almost exactlu 50/50. The session against Ziigmund was particularly brutal, as it only lasted 240 hands, something that made his average loss per hand a whopping 3570 dollars. Since Wednesday, his total loss is almost $3.7M, which has to hurt a bit, even for a player of his caliber.

 

 

Well, when you read the results you don’t really need a graph to describe how it went down, but looking at it you can see that Antonius had a bad start and a bad finish. In the middle it seems like he was treading water for the most part. I don’t know about you, but I recognize the pattern from my own bad days, Bad start, then trying to remain patient for a long time, and bottoming out at some point when I can’t get anything going. I am not saying that is what happened here, just that it is a pattern you see with many players. Luckily, for most of us a bad day doesn’t mean losing millions of dollars.


Antonius flops a set, but Ziigmund wins $367K pot on a runner runner flush



Sometimes when you are running bad, it feels like nothing you are doing works out for you, and hands like the one seems like the rule rather than the exception. Antonius flopped bottom set and decided to wait until the turn to make his move, but by that time, Ziigmund had picked up too many draws to go along with his aces for him to consider folding. The spade on the end had an air of inevitability, and just put the exclamation point on how Antonius is running these days.


Antonius takes a bit of an unorthodox line on the flop, but it backfires when Isildur1 flopped a set. $254K pot.

 

On this hand, Antonius refrains from making the continuation bet. I guess that he thinks that he most likely is having the best hand at this point. His nine of clubs is a good blocker which reduces the chances of Isildur1 having a hand like top two pairs etc. By going for the check raise, he is able to make a big raise, thus protecting the hand better if he is ahead on the flop. Alas, most good plans have a downside, and Antonius felt this when Isildur1 moved all in. At this point, there was little chance that the kings were good, but he was almost getting 4-1 on the call, so there was little choice. If Isildur1 has a hand like two pairs or if he is on a draw, Antonius’ would have more than sufficient odds to make the call.

 

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