Geoff7878 is still riding the heater that started a few days ago and yesterday he had another excellent session winning $223K. After the last few hectic days, Isildur1 took a day off and the action really suffered because of it. Durrrr lost $137K in 652 hands, and Antonius still has problems turning in winning sessions but it was really quite an uneventful day. There was a short David Benyamine sighting, one of the few of the year, so it will be interesting to see if he is coming back.
Townsend sucks out on the river to take an $88K pot from kerendream
Well, it was certainly not one of the worst suckouts we have seen, but it would have been the second largest pot of kerendream ‘s Full Tilt career, so I am sure it felt pretty bad when the ace fell on the river. For Brian Townsend, on the other hand, he probably didn’t even remember the hand when he fell asleep. Such are the difference between the established top players and the ones aspiring to get there.
The play of the hand itself was fairly standard, but not without points to it. I do not like Townsend’s call before the flop in the small blind. The only positive aspect about his hand is that it can make the nut flush in spades, but apart from that it is too raggedy to have much value. Add to that, that he has to play the hand out of position, this hand is a clear cut fold in my opinion.
Save from flopping a made hand, this flop was about as good for Townsend as he could hope for. He has the nut flush draw, and a gutshot straight draw to the nuts. He would probably be happy to play the hand for stacks at this point, not least because that would negate any positional disadvantage he has. By betting into two players he is representing a lot of strength, and if he gets raised, he will have the chance to make a big shove to at least give his opponents a chance to lay down their hand (at least if it is kerendream since geoff7878 would be committed after a raise on the flop). kerendream also flopped a decent hand, but with top and bottom pair, players at this level seem to prefer taking a card off in this spot. Being in position, you will be much better suited to make a correct decision when you see what peels off on the turn.
When the jack comes on the turn, Townsend is in a tough spot. He improved to top pair, but that doesn’t necessarily mean a whole lot. The problem is that if he bets out an gets raised, he will either have to fold or make a shove basically on a draw with only one card to come. On the other hand, if he goes for the check-call, he might be bluffed off the best hand on the river if the river bricks. I think that check raising is the best alternative to betting out, since that would also give him some fold equity, but if kerendream checks the turn as well, Townsend could face another difficult decision on the river. This time, kerendream raised Townsend’s turn bet, and with top pair and a bunch of nut outs Townsend decided to go with his hand. He needs to have 35% equity for this to be correct, and even on this hand when his opponent doesn’t have a set and no blockers to his winners, his equity is only 38%. This means that the decision is really not as clear cut as it might seem at first glance.
Gus Hansen is dominated and all in before the flop, but lucks out to win a $77K pot.
Four players all in on the flop and Josh Arieh sucks out with the worst hand to win a $64K pot
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